The +EV operating system for modern sports betting.

A 250,000-word treatise on expected value, market structure, and bankroll discipline — the rigorous book the post-legalization era has been missing.

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The thesis · Why this book, why now

The legalization wave created millions of bettors. Almost none of them have a book worth reading.

Since the 2018 PASPA repeal, ~38 US states have gone live and the audience has exploded — but the literature hasn't. The category's ceiling is proven (The Logic of Sports Betting moved 300,000+ copies), yet nobody has shipped the comprehensive treatise the serious bettor actually needs. Every existing title is dated, shallow, or written to entertain rather than to make you a winner.

What's on the shelf today

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What this treatise delivers

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“The edge isn't a secret pick. It's a system — expected value, market structure, and bankroll discipline, applied relentlessly. This book is that system, written down.”
— Brandon Jundt, from the introduction
The math · Interactive, sourced, real

Don't take my word for it. Run the numbers yourself.

Live versions of the actual simulations from the book — every curve runs the real formula in your browser. Set your numbers, then share the exact chart state.

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Also in this section on the full site: Hold % by book archetype · Key-number value (NFL). Accent = +EV / value; grey = the book's edge.

The book · Five parts, forty-one chapters

A complete arc — from thinking like a pro to becoming one.

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Chapter titles shown are representative of the working manuscript and may shift before print.

The author

Brandon Jundt

Author · Practitioner · Greenwood Village, CO

Years at the intersection of finance and sports markets, distilled into the one book I wish had existed when I started — rigorous, honest, and free of pick-selling noise.

Proof, not promises

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Download Chapter 6 (PDF, 18 pages)
then, if you want

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